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Kalshi Polymarket Metaculus Manifold

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AI Analysis
$0.99
"Will the Fed cut rates before July 2026?"
AI Probability 72.4%
Confidence High
Best Price Kalshi — Yes @ 68¢
Edge +4.4¢
Signal BUY YES
  • CPI trending down 3 consecutive months
  • Fed minutes language shifted dovish
  • Bond market pricing in 2 cuts by Q3
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"Will Bitcoin hit $150K by Dec 2026?"
K Kalshi
Yes 42¢ No 58¢
Best Price
Trade
P Polymarket
Yes 44¢ No 56¢
Trade
M Metaculus
Community: 39%
View
"Will the Fed cut rates before July 2026?"
K Kalshi
Yes 68¢ No 32¢
Trade
P Polymarket
Yes 65¢ No 35¢
Best Price
Trade
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